Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.529138 0.584706 0.644592 0.714082 0.792694 0.879087 0.981520
2025-09-14 0.432580 0.507718 0.594750 0.703662 0.837214 0.996801 1.203672
2025-09-21 0.377885 0.461433 0.562950 0.696651 0.870000 1.089771 1.393694
2025-09-28 0.330313 0.415626 0.523142 0.670466 0.870038 1.135314 1.522017
2025-10-05 0.308688 0.399165 0.517064 0.684657 0.921227 1.250177 1.754808
2025-10-12 0.289835 0.383816 0.509926 0.695123 0.966384 1.359347 1.991284
2025-10-19 0.272061 0.367915 0.499922 0.699507 1.001771 1.456372 2.220123
2025-10-26 0.256513 0.353545 0.490370 0.702846 1.034755 1.551797 2.457335
2025-11-02 0.243949 0.342252 0.483976 0.709698 1.072880 1.658148 2.725690
2025-11-09 0.226983 0.323172 0.464429 0.694231 1.073335 1.702191 2.890207
2025-11-16 0.217449 0.314416 0.459609 0.701184 1.110492 1.810963 3.185899
2025-11-23 0.205971 0.301863 0.447913 0.695781 1.125844 1.882713 3.420853
2025-11-30 0.197010 0.292788 0.441264 0.698529 1.156186 1.985897 3.736122
2025-12-07 0.186013 0.279836 0.427550 0.688215 1.162324 2.045029 3.970982
2025-12-14 0.176707 0.268985 0.416464 0.681392 1.173856 2.115167 4.239463
2025-12-21 0.164610 0.252908 0.395709 0.655887 1.148003 2.108760 4.337169
2025-12-28 0.160717 0.250063 0.396914 0.669709 1.198210 2.260784 4.822002
2026-01-04 0.156437 0.246291 0.396231 0.679903 1.242131 2.404789 5.313675
2026-01-11 0.151450 0.241021 0.392577 0.684173 1.274428 2.527575 5.775246
2026-01-18 0.146633 0.235765 0.388590 0.687425 1.304801 2.649564 6.257724
2026-01-25 0.142646 0.231720 0.386490 0.694098 1.342875 2.793518 6.827723
2026-02-01 0.135723 0.222163 0.373852 0.679035 1.332791 2.823854 7.085700
2026-02-08 0.132329 0.218703 0.372188 0.685806 1.371115 2.974522 7.723512